Nullmodell (2-Level)

Modellübersicht

##  Family: cumulative 
##   Links: mu = logit; disc = identity 
## Formula: trustO ~ 1 + (1 | nuts2) 
##    Data: cee04 (Number of observations: 4649) 
##   Draws: 3 chains, each with iter = 44000; warmup = 4000; thin = 4;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Group-Level Effects: 
## ~nuts2 (Number of levels: 26) 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sd(Intercept)     0.45      0.08     0.32     0.62 1.00    18315    23499
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept[1]     -2.86      0.11    -3.07    -2.64 1.00    16254    22331
## Intercept[2]     -1.54      0.10    -1.73    -1.35 1.00    14888    20320
## Intercept[3]     -0.53      0.09    -0.72    -0.35 1.00    14785    20649
## Intercept[4]      0.28      0.09     0.09     0.47 1.00    14967    20700
## Intercept[5]      1.08      0.10     0.89     1.27 1.00    15048    20946
## Intercept[6]      2.10      0.10     1.90     2.30 1.00    15939    22226
## Intercept[7]      3.12      0.11     2.90     3.35 1.00    18054    24260
## Intercept[8]      4.35      0.16     4.04     4.66 1.00    22451    26549
## Intercept[9]      6.06      0.31     5.49     6.71 1.00    27438    28526
## Intercept[10]     6.76      0.42     6.01     7.67 1.00    28153    26870
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##      Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## disc     1.00      0.00     1.00     1.00   NA       NA       NA
## 
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Trace-Plots

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Autokorrelation-Plots

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Posterior-Verteilung

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Model 1

Modellübersicht

##  Family: cumulative 
##   Links: mu = logit; disc = identity 
## Formula: trustO ~ 1 + (1 | nuts2) + stfdemc + stfgovc + outcomec + stfgovc:stfdemc + stfgovc:outcomec 
##    Data: cee04 (Number of observations: 4649) 
##   Draws: 3 chains, each with iter = 44000; warmup = 4000; thin = 4;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Group-Level Effects: 
## ~nuts2 (Number of levels: 26) 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sd(Intercept)     0.57      0.09     0.42     0.78 1.00    18513    23908
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                  Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept[1]        -3.77      0.14    -4.04    -3.51 1.00    16352    22856
## Intercept[2]        -2.17      0.12    -2.42    -1.93 1.00    15296    21663
## Intercept[3]        -0.84      0.12    -1.08    -0.60 1.00    14813    21065
## Intercept[4]         0.26      0.12     0.03     0.50 1.00    14893    21273
## Intercept[5]         1.31      0.12     1.07     1.54 1.00    15344    21650
## Intercept[6]         2.57      0.13     2.32     2.82 1.00    16115    21668
## Intercept[7]         3.75      0.14     3.47     4.02 1.00    17839    24281
## Intercept[8]         5.07      0.18     4.72     5.42 1.00    20987    25998
## Intercept[9]         6.85      0.33     6.24     7.52 1.00    26375    28569
## Intercept[10]        7.56      0.44     6.77     8.47 1.00    27509    28659
## stfdemc              1.18      0.07     1.05     1.32 1.00    28005    29291
## stfgovc              1.60      0.08     1.44     1.76 1.00    29632    29174
## outcomec             0.54      0.07     0.40     0.69 1.00    28934    29111
## stfdemc:stfgovc      0.11      0.13    -0.14     0.36 1.00    29694    29218
## stfgovc:outcomec    -0.53      0.12    -0.77    -0.29 1.00    30014    29010
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##      Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## disc     1.00      0.00     1.00     1.00   NA       NA       NA
## 
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Trace-Plots

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Autokorrelation-Plots

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Posterior-Verteilung

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Model 2

Modellübersicht

##  Family: cumulative 
##   Links: mu = logit; disc = identity 
## Formula: trustO ~ 1 + (1 | nuts2) + stfdemc + stfgovc + outcomec + stfgovc:stfdemc + stfgovc:outcomec + ageac + gndr + class5 + eduyrsc + hincfel2 + hincsrca2 + socialist + votgov 
##    Data: cee04 (Number of observations: 4649) 
##   Draws: 3 chains, each with iter = 44000; warmup = 4000; thin = 4;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Group-Level Effects: 
## ~nuts2 (Number of levels: 26) 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sd(Intercept)     0.56      0.09     0.41     0.77 1.00    20196    25196
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept[1]                     -3.75      0.19    -4.13    -3.37 1.00
## Intercept[2]                     -2.14      0.18    -2.50    -1.78 1.00
## Intercept[3]                     -0.80      0.18    -1.15    -0.45 1.00
## Intercept[4]                      0.31      0.18    -0.04     0.66 1.00
## Intercept[5]                      1.36      0.18     1.01     1.72 1.00
## Intercept[6]                      2.63      0.18     2.27     2.99 1.00
## Intercept[7]                      3.81      0.19     3.43     4.18 1.00
## Intercept[8]                      5.14      0.22     4.71     5.58 1.00
## Intercept[9]                      6.92      0.35     6.26     7.64 1.00
## Intercept[10]                     7.63      0.46     6.80     8.60 1.00
## stfdemc                           1.18      0.07     1.04     1.32 1.00
## stfgovc                           1.59      0.08     1.43     1.75 1.00
## outcomec                          0.54      0.07     0.40     0.68 1.00
## ageac                             0.13      0.14    -0.15     0.42 1.00
## gndrfemale                        0.20      0.05     0.10     0.31 1.00
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    -0.05      0.10    -0.25     0.15 1.00
## class5Smallbusinessowners        -0.29      0.12    -0.53    -0.06 1.00
## class5Skilledworkers             -0.09      0.10    -0.28     0.11 1.00
## class5Unskilledworkers           -0.12      0.11    -0.34     0.10 1.00
## eduyrsc                           0.07      0.07    -0.06     0.21 1.00
## hincfel2good                      0.12      0.06     0.01     0.24 1.00
## hincsrca2stateaid                 0.14      0.08    -0.01     0.29 1.00
## socialistoldsocialist            -0.13      0.13    -0.39     0.12 1.00
## socialistsocialist               -0.05      0.09    -0.23     0.12 1.00
## votgovvoted                      -0.03      0.06    -0.15     0.09 1.00
## stfdemc:stfgovc                   0.09      0.13    -0.16     0.34 1.00
## stfgovc:outcomec                 -0.50      0.12    -0.75    -0.27 1.00
##                               Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept[1]                     23041    27331
## Intercept[2]                     22489    27187
## Intercept[3]                     22475    26916
## Intercept[4]                     22474    27112
## Intercept[5]                     22930    27056
## Intercept[6]                     23148    27392
## Intercept[7]                     23752    26654
## Intercept[8]                     24560    27387
## Intercept[9]                     27842    29070
## Intercept[10]                    28855    28239
## stfdemc                          29384    29215
## stfgovc                          30051    28895
## outcomec                         29442    28092
## ageac                            27713    28855
## gndrfemale                       29455    28937
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    28828    29320
## class5Smallbusinessowners        28347    28852
## class5Skilledworkers             28106    29190
## class5Unskilledworkers           28159    28884
## eduyrsc                          28785    29270
## hincfel2good                     30063    29101
## hincsrca2stateaid                28583    28539
## socialistoldsocialist            28306    28315
## socialistsocialist               28811    28737
## votgovvoted                      29375    28527
## stfdemc:stfgovc                  28795    27454
## stfgovc:outcomec                 29733    28773
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##      Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## disc     1.00      0.00     1.00     1.00   NA       NA       NA
## 
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Trace-Plots

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Autokorrelation-Plots

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Posterior-Verteilung

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Model 3

Modellübersicht

##  Family: cumulative 
##   Links: mu = logit; disc = identity 
## Formula: trustO ~ 1 + (1 | nuts2) + stfdemc + stfgovc + outcomec + stfgovc:stfdemc + stfgovc:outcomec + ageac + gndr + class5 + eduyrsc + hincfel2 + hincsrca2 + socialist + votgov + ppltrstc + gincdifc + freehmsc + ipeqoptc + impfreec 
##    Data: cee04 (Number of observations: 4649) 
##   Draws: 3 chains, each with iter = 44000; warmup = 4000; thin = 4;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Group-Level Effects: 
## ~nuts2 (Number of levels: 26) 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sd(Intercept)     0.57      0.09     0.42     0.78 1.00    21174    26446
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept[1]                     -3.80      0.19    -4.19    -3.43 1.00
## Intercept[2]                     -2.17      0.18    -2.53    -1.81 1.00
## Intercept[3]                     -0.80      0.18    -1.16    -0.45 1.00
## Intercept[4]                      0.32      0.18    -0.03     0.68 1.00
## Intercept[5]                      1.39      0.18     1.04     1.75 1.00
## Intercept[6]                      2.68      0.19     2.32     3.05 1.00
## Intercept[7]                      3.88      0.20     3.50     4.27 1.00
## Intercept[8]                      5.22      0.22     4.78     5.66 1.00
## Intercept[9]                      6.99      0.35     6.33     7.71 1.00
## Intercept[10]                     7.70      0.46     6.87     8.66 1.00
## stfdemc                           1.09      0.07     0.95     1.23 1.00
## stfgovc                           1.59      0.08     1.43     1.75 1.00
## outcomec                          0.48      0.07     0.34     0.63 1.00
## ageac                             0.15      0.15    -0.14     0.44 1.00
## gndrfemale                        0.20      0.05     0.09     0.30 1.00
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    -0.04      0.10    -0.23     0.16 1.00
## class5Smallbusinessowners        -0.25      0.12    -0.49    -0.02 1.00
## class5Skilledworkers             -0.05      0.10    -0.24     0.14 1.00
## class5Unskilledworkers           -0.10      0.11    -0.32     0.12 1.00
## eduyrsc                           0.04      0.07    -0.10     0.17 1.00
## hincfel2good                      0.11      0.06    -0.01     0.22 1.00
## hincsrca2stateaid                 0.15      0.08    -0.01     0.30 1.00
## socialistoldsocialist            -0.15      0.13    -0.41     0.10 1.00
## socialistsocialist               -0.05      0.09    -0.23     0.13 1.00
## votgovvoted                      -0.03      0.06    -0.15     0.10 1.00
## ppltrstc                          0.65      0.06     0.54     0.77 1.00
## gincdifc                          0.02      0.06    -0.09     0.13 1.00
## freehmsc                         -0.04      0.06    -0.15     0.07 1.00
## ipeqoptc                          0.16      0.06     0.05     0.27 1.00
## impfreec                         -0.07      0.06    -0.18     0.04 1.00
## stfdemc:stfgovc                   0.16      0.13    -0.09     0.41 1.00
## stfgovc:outcomec                 -0.53      0.12    -0.77    -0.29 1.00
##                               Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept[1]                     23760    26113
## Intercept[2]                     23892    27559
## Intercept[3]                     23941    26930
## Intercept[4]                     24011    26195
## Intercept[5]                     23817    26951
## Intercept[6]                     23886    26691
## Intercept[7]                     24770    27877
## Intercept[8]                     25700    28522
## Intercept[9]                     27290    28701
## Intercept[10]                    27853    28495
## stfdemc                          30095    29965
## stfgovc                          29449    29152
## outcomec                         29624    29617
## ageac                            28752    28817
## gndrfemale                       29894    28607
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    29525    29112
## class5Smallbusinessowners        29163    29471
## class5Skilledworkers             29027    27739
## class5Unskilledworkers           28934    29512
## eduyrsc                          29558    29522
## hincfel2good                     29677    28803
## hincsrca2stateaid                29119    29904
## socialistoldsocialist            28910    29168
## socialistsocialist               29832    29568
## votgovvoted                      29920    28841
## ppltrstc                         29719    29015
## gincdifc                         29713    29427
## freehmsc                         29330    28887
## ipeqoptc                         29327    29578
## impfreec                         30027    28659
## stfdemc:stfgovc                  29063    28806
## stfgovc:outcomec                 29982    29597
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##      Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## disc     1.00      0.00     1.00     1.00   NA       NA       NA
## 
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Trace-Plots

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Autokorrelation-Plots

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Posterior-Verteilung

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Model 4

Modellübersicht

##  Family: cumulative 
##   Links: mu = logit; disc = identity 
## Formula: trustO ~ 1 + (1 | nuts2) + stfdemc + stfgovc + outcomec + stfgovc:stfdemc + stfgovc:outcomec + ageac + gndr + class5 + eduyrsc + hincfel2 + hincsrca2 + socialist + votgov + ppltrstc + gincdifc + freehmsc + ipeqoptc + impfreec + rankgm + neggm + gincdifgm + impfreegm + ipeqoptgm 
##    Data: cee04 (Number of observations: 4649) 
##   Draws: 3 chains, each with iter = 44000; warmup = 4000; thin = 4;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Group-Level Effects: 
## ~nuts2 (Number of levels: 26) 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sd(Intercept)     0.54      0.10     0.38     0.77 1.00    24573    28583
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept[1]                     -3.78      0.19    -4.16    -3.41 1.00
## Intercept[2]                     -2.15      0.18    -2.51    -1.80 1.00
## Intercept[3]                     -0.78      0.18    -1.13    -0.44 1.00
## Intercept[4]                      0.35      0.18    -0.00     0.69 1.00
## Intercept[5]                      1.42      0.18     1.06     1.77 1.00
## Intercept[6]                      2.71      0.18     2.35     3.07 1.00
## Intercept[7]                      3.91      0.19     3.53     4.29 1.00
## Intercept[8]                      5.25      0.22     4.81     5.68 1.00
## Intercept[9]                      7.02      0.35     6.37     7.74 1.00
## Intercept[10]                     7.73      0.46     6.91     8.71 1.00
## stfdemc                           1.09      0.07     0.95     1.23 1.00
## stfgovc                           1.59      0.08     1.43     1.75 1.00
## outcomec                          0.48      0.07     0.33     0.62 1.00
## ageac                             0.16      0.15    -0.13     0.45 1.00
## gndrfemale                        0.20      0.05     0.09     0.30 1.00
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    -0.04      0.10    -0.23     0.16 1.00
## class5Smallbusinessowners        -0.25      0.12    -0.49    -0.02 1.00
## class5Skilledworkers             -0.05      0.10    -0.25     0.14 1.00
## class5Unskilledworkers           -0.10      0.11    -0.32     0.12 1.00
## eduyrsc                           0.04      0.07    -0.09     0.17 1.00
## hincfel2good                      0.11      0.06    -0.01     0.22 1.00
## hincsrca2stateaid                 0.14      0.08    -0.01     0.30 1.00
## socialistoldsocialist            -0.16      0.13    -0.42     0.09 1.00
## socialistsocialist               -0.05      0.09    -0.23     0.13 1.00
## votgovvoted                      -0.03      0.06    -0.15     0.10 1.00
## ppltrstc                          0.65      0.06     0.54     0.77 1.00
## gincdifc                          0.02      0.06    -0.08     0.13 1.00
## freehmsc                         -0.04      0.06    -0.15     0.07 1.00
## ipeqoptc                          0.16      0.06     0.05     0.27 1.00
## impfreec                         -0.07      0.06    -0.18     0.04 1.00
## rankgm                            0.13      0.24    -0.35     0.63 1.00
## neggm                            -0.58      0.34    -1.26     0.08 1.00
## gincdifgm                         0.86      0.34     0.19     1.54 1.00
## impfreegm                        -0.16      0.35    -0.86     0.54 1.00
## ipeqoptgm                        -0.27      0.45    -1.17     0.62 1.00
## stfdemc:stfgovc                   0.16      0.13    -0.09     0.41 1.00
## stfgovc:outcomec                 -0.53      0.12    -0.77    -0.29 1.00
##                               Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept[1]                     28356    28379
## Intercept[2]                     28114    28199
## Intercept[3]                     28159    28048
## Intercept[4]                     28016    28399
## Intercept[5]                     28415    28263
## Intercept[6]                     28219    29256
## Intercept[7]                     28497    28802
## Intercept[8]                     28723    28894
## Intercept[9]                     28767    27362
## Intercept[10]                    28794    28093
## stfdemc                          30332    29118
## stfgovc                          29780    28396
## outcomec                         29093    28004
## ageac                            29428    29592
## gndrfemale                       28859    29149
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    29601    29662
## class5Smallbusinessowners        29402    29172
## class5Skilledworkers             29518    29379
## class5Unskilledworkers           28926    29518
## eduyrsc                          29086    29055
## hincfel2good                     29602    28195
## hincsrca2stateaid                29382    29242
## socialistoldsocialist            29688    29729
## socialistsocialist               29799    29595
## votgovvoted                      29162    28717
## ppltrstc                         28195    27983
## gincdifc                         29392    28814
## freehmsc                         28967    28797
## ipeqoptc                         29827    29332
## impfreec                         28363    29345
## rankgm                           28145    29082
## neggm                            28230    29137
## gincdifgm                        28426    28614
## impfreegm                        28247    28993
## ipeqoptgm                        28309    28954
## stfdemc:stfgovc                  30145    29056
## stfgovc:outcomec                 28808    28760
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##      Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## disc     1.00      0.00     1.00     1.00   NA       NA       NA
## 
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Trace-Plots

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Autokorrelation-Plots

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Posterior-Verteilung

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Model 5

Modellübersicht

##  Family: cumulative 
##   Links: mu = logit; disc = identity 
## Formula: trustO ~ 1 + (1 | nuts2) + stfdemc + stfgovc + outcomec + stfgovc:stfdemc + stfgovc:outcomec + ageac + gndr + class5 + eduyrsc + hincfel2 + hincsrca2 + socialist + votgov + ppltrstc + gincdifc + freehmsc + ipeqoptc + impfreec + gdpngm + uergm + yempgm + hhincgm + neggm + gincdifgm + impfreegm + ipeqoptgm 
##    Data: cee04 (Number of observations: 4649) 
##   Draws: 3 chains, each with iter = 44000; warmup = 4000; thin = 4;
##          total post-warmup draws = 30000
## 
## Group-Level Effects: 
## ~nuts2 (Number of levels: 26) 
##               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## sd(Intercept)     0.59      0.12     0.41     0.87 1.00    24178    27533
## 
## Population-Level Effects: 
##                               Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat
## Intercept[1]                     -3.80      0.20    -4.19    -3.41 1.00
## Intercept[2]                     -2.17      0.19    -2.53    -1.80 1.00
## Intercept[3]                     -0.80      0.18    -1.16    -0.44 1.00
## Intercept[4]                      0.33      0.18    -0.03     0.69 1.00
## Intercept[5]                      1.40      0.19     1.04     1.77 1.00
## Intercept[6]                      2.70      0.19     2.32     3.07 1.00
## Intercept[7]                      3.89      0.20     3.51     4.28 1.00
## Intercept[8]                      5.23      0.23     4.79     5.68 1.00
## Intercept[9]                      7.00      0.35     6.34     7.73 1.00
## Intercept[10]                     7.71      0.46     6.88     8.68 1.00
## stfdemc                           1.09      0.07     0.95     1.23 1.00
## stfgovc                           1.59      0.08     1.43     1.75 1.00
## outcomec                          0.48      0.07     0.34     0.62 1.00
## ageac                             0.16      0.15    -0.12     0.45 1.00
## gndrfemale                        0.20      0.05     0.09     0.31 1.00
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    -0.04      0.10    -0.23     0.16 1.00
## class5Smallbusinessowners        -0.25      0.12    -0.49    -0.02 1.00
## class5Skilledworkers             -0.05      0.10    -0.25     0.14 1.00
## class5Unskilledworkers           -0.10      0.11    -0.32     0.11 1.00
## eduyrsc                           0.04      0.07    -0.09     0.18 1.00
## hincfel2good                      0.11      0.06    -0.01     0.22 1.00
## hincsrca2stateaid                 0.14      0.08    -0.01     0.30 1.00
## socialistoldsocialist            -0.17      0.13    -0.42     0.09 1.00
## socialistsocialist               -0.05      0.09    -0.23     0.12 1.00
## votgovvoted                      -0.03      0.06    -0.15     0.10 1.00
## ppltrstc                          0.65      0.06     0.54     0.77 1.00
## gincdifc                          0.02      0.06    -0.08     0.13 1.00
## freehmsc                         -0.04      0.06    -0.15     0.07 1.00
## ipeqoptc                          0.16      0.06     0.05     0.27 1.00
## impfreec                         -0.07      0.06    -0.18     0.04 1.00
## gdpngm                            0.15      0.31    -0.47     0.77 1.00
## uergm                             0.10      0.60    -1.07     1.30 1.00
## yempgm                           -0.12      0.63    -1.37     1.12 1.00
## hhincgm                           0.04      0.52    -1.00     1.07 1.00
## neggm                            -0.61      0.47    -1.55     0.32 1.00
## gincdifgm                         0.96      0.46     0.06     1.87 1.00
## impfreegm                        -0.20      0.43    -1.06     0.66 1.00
## ipeqoptgm                        -0.30      0.56    -1.42     0.83 1.00
## stfdemc:stfgovc                   0.16      0.13    -0.09     0.41 1.00
## stfgovc:outcomec                 -0.53      0.12    -0.77    -0.29 1.00
##                               Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## Intercept[1]                     29647    29471
## Intercept[2]                     29890    29799
## Intercept[3]                     29818    29654
## Intercept[4]                     29602    29164
## Intercept[5]                     29399    28585
## Intercept[6]                     29237    28924
## Intercept[7]                     29286    29884
## Intercept[8]                     29203    29352
## Intercept[9]                     28817    28797
## Intercept[10]                    29341    29231
## stfdemc                          29687    29717
## stfgovc                          29868    28553
## outcomec                         29486    29138
## ageac                            30243    29678
## gndrfemale                       29764    29067
## class5LowerMgradeserviceclass    29037    29227
## class5Smallbusinessowners        29425    28883
## class5Skilledworkers             29939    29190
## class5Unskilledworkers           29736    28886
## eduyrsc                          29344    28476
## hincfel2good                     29817    29114
## hincsrca2stateaid                29880    29251
## socialistoldsocialist            30325    29069
## socialistsocialist               30179    29398
## votgovvoted                      30083    29594
## ppltrstc                         28512    28797
## gincdifc                         30006    27927
## freehmsc                         30218    28303
## ipeqoptc                         29682    28759
## impfreec                         29782    28994
## gdpngm                           29931    29468
## uergm                            28979    27652
## yempgm                           29676    29231
## hhincgm                          29609    29117
## neggm                            28955    29441
## gincdifgm                        29272    29472
## impfreegm                        29565    29191
## ipeqoptgm                        29312    28683
## stfdemc:stfgovc                  29919    29619
## stfgovc:outcomec                 29923    29322
## 
## Family Specific Parameters: 
##      Estimate Est.Error l-95% CI u-95% CI Rhat Bulk_ESS Tail_ESS
## disc     1.00      0.00     1.00     1.00   NA       NA       NA
## 
## Draws were sampled using sampling(NUTS). For each parameter, Bulk_ESS
## and Tail_ESS are effective sample size measures, and Rhat is the potential
## scale reduction factor on split chains (at convergence, Rhat = 1).

Trace-Plots

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Trace-Plot

Autokorrelation-Plots

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Autokorrelations-Plot

Posterior-Verteilung

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot

Posterior-Plot




Copyright: Creative Commons License
Benedikt Philipp Kleer, 2022 (Online-Appendix zur Promotion, eingereicht am 14. September 2022, Fachbereich 03, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen).